A Gardeners Forum Forums General Discussion The Banter Hall Washington Weather Watch

Full Advisory Text

Warning Description: Areal Flood Watch

Warning Date: 4:19 am PST on November 11, 2008

WarningSum:...Flood Watch Remains In Effect From 4 Pm Pst This Afternoon
Through Late Wednesday Night...

Warning Message:The Flood Watch continues for
* portions of western Washington...including the following
counties... Grays Harbor...Clallam...Jefferson...Skagit...
Whatcom...King...Kitsap...Lewis...Mason...Pierce...Snohomish...
Thurston.
* From 4 PM PST this afternoon through late Wednesday night
* the first of a series of fronts that will affect the region into
Wednesday is pushing onshore. Snow levels will start out around
4000 feet then rise to over 6000 feet this afternoon. This front
is expected to produce between one and two inches of
precipitation over the mountains.
A second...stronger front that has entrained tropical moisture
will raise the freezing levels to around 10000 feet and spread
heavier rain across the area tonight into Wednesday. The
combination of a strong westerly wind in the mid levels of the
atmosphere and abundant moisture is expected to produce very
heavy rain along the west slopes of the Olympics and Cascades.
Rainfall amounts over the Olympics and Cascades are expected to
range from 3 to 7 inches and may locally exceed 10 inches.
A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
the current forecasts. Residents in the watch area should be aware
of the potential for significant rainfall that could lead to
flooding and be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Monitor forecasts from the National Weather Service in Seattle
for updates on this event.
Cerniglia
WarningDesc:Special Weather Statement

WarningDate:6:02 am PST on November 11, 2008

WarningSum:


Warning Message:The amount of rainfall forecast over the next 24 to 36 hours...on
top of the cumulative rainfall late last week...will push most of
western Washington soils to the point where they are marginally above
the USGS landslide index. When cumulative rainfall exceeds the USGS
landslide cumulative threshold index...rainfall induced landslides
are possible during intense rainfall or when rainfall amounts exceed
two inches in 24 hours. A diminishing risk of landslides will
continue for several days after the rain ends.
A large part of western Washington will receive heavy rain over the
next 24 to 36 hours...increasing the threat of landslides tonight
through Thursday. This includes the Olympics and west slopes of the
Cascades...the coast...western Strait of Juan de Fuca and much of
the southwest interior.
Due to a rain shadow northeast and east of the Olympics...the
central Puget Sound...Admiralty Inlet and eastern Strait of Juan de
Fuca will not receive the heavy rainfall and thus will likely not
have a threat of landslides. This area of little or no threat
includes the Seattle to Everett Metro area...the Kitsap peninsula
north of Belfair...the Strait of Juan de Fuca east of
Joyce...Admiralty Inlet...Whidbey Island and the San Juan Islands.
While the USGS rainfall thresholds were designed for the Seattle
area of the Puget Sound...most of The Lowlands of western
Washington are similarly susceptible to landslides caused by wet
soils. Areas most susceptible to landslides under these conditions
are steep coastal Bluffs and other steep hillsides.
For more information about current conditions...visit
www.Weather.Gov/Seattle...select hydrology...and then scroll down
for the link to the USGS landslide information Page.
Cerniglia
weather.Gov/Seattle

Being high and possible landslides are not a great thing. Stay safe, Bill.

stay safe bill we don't want you to slide right off cedar hill. (it's a heck of a slide and the river is cold this time of year)

I wish I was there...I'd love to be trapped on Cedar Hill with you!

Too bad you didn't get there, Cindy!!

Being high and possible landslides are not a great thing.

we don't want you to slide right off cedar hill.

We don't want you falling or slipping on Mud or anything,,

That yellow bag of yours isn't going to keep you afloat if you get washed away.

Hopefully, on Friday we will be setting up the date to glue me back together. I kept telling them not to underestimate the healing powers of The gnome, but I am 2 months ahead of what they expected me to be at. Guess I'll make believers of them yet!

WarningDesc:Wind Advisory

WarningDate:2:12 PM PST on November 11, 2008

WarningSum:...Wind Advisory In Effect From 10 Pm This Evening To 10 Am Pst
Wednesday...

Warning Message:The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a Wind
Advisory for the interior lowlands of western Washington...which
is in effect from 10 PM this evening to 10 am PST Wednesday.
A warm front will lift north across western Washington tonight
resulting in an increase in southerly winds. The strongest winds
will initially occur tonight from the north Puget Sound to the
north interior. Expect sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts
to 45 mph to develop across this area later this evening.
As the associated cold front begins to sag south across the area
late tonight and Wednesday morning...similar wind speeds will focus
from the central Puget Sound southward to the southwest interior.
Winds will decrease by later Wednesday morning once the cold front
passes the area.
Winds this strong can snap small tree branches...topple small or
shallow-rooted trees...and cause local power outages.
Motorists...especially those with high profile vehicles...should
also be alert for sudden strong cross winds.

Oh My, Does the Envoy have its own "house" ???
will it be ok????

The Flood Warning continues for
the Skykomish river near Gold Bar.
* From 5 am Wednesday until Thursday evening.
* At 3:30 am Wednesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Near record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will rise above flood stage around 5 am
Wednesday and crest near 22.9 feet around 4 PM Wednesday. The river
will fall below flood stage Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...the Skykomish river will cause severe...
near record flooding from index downstream to Monroe. The river
will flood many homes...cover much of the farmland...close most
roads and overtop most dikes. Flooding will occur all along the
river including headwaters...tributaries...and other streams within
and near the Skykomish river Basin. A stage of 22 feet on the
Skykomish river corresponds to a phase 4 in the Snohomish County
flood program.

bill, is the river over the bridge then, right by the rail road tracks?

Sultan would be under water before the river ever reached the main bridge, but there are some logs beginning to jam up against the support columns. That could be catastrophic! The new bridge they just built half-way down that road was supposed to be high enough to be flood proof but it was under a foot of water this afternoon....